Barretos vs Nacional SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
25.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barretos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
VEL
4 - 1
BAR
39%
29%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 0
CAP
37%
25%
38%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
OLI
2 - 0
BAR
25%
26%
48%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
BAR
2 - 1
PAU
62%
22%
15%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
GRE
0 - 0
BAR
21%
26%
53%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
DES
1 - 1
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 0
COM
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
NAC
4 - 1
OLI
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
PAU
1 - 1
NAC
44%
25%
32%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
AGU
4 - 1
NAC
53%
25%
23%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |