Barretos vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barretos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 1
NOR
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
OLI
1 - 2
BAR
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 0
RIO
42%
26%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
SAO
3 - 1
BAR
34%
28%
39%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 0
GRE
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
TAB
57%
23%
19%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
MAT
59%
23%
18%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
UNI
0 - 3
MON
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
MON
1 - 2
VEL
51%
24%
24%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
MON
3 - 0
DES
40%
24%
35%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |