Barretos vs Mirassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
66.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barretos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 3
BAR
66%
20%
15%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 0
BAR
81%
13%
6%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 0
POR
23%
22%
55%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ATI
1 - 0
BAR
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 1
TAU
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
MIR
3 - 1
RIO
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
MIR
0 - 1
VEL
70%
19%
12%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 2
MIR
27%
25%
49%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MIR
0 - 2
ITU
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
ITU
2 - 3
MIR
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |