Barretos vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barretos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
BER
1 - 0
BAR
57%
24%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 2
NOR
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 4
LIN
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
DES
2 - 2
BAR
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
BAR
2 - 2
COM
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 1
DES
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
CAP
4 - 1
MAR
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
MAR
5 - 0
GRE
49%
24%
26%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
COM
3 - 0
MAR
60%
24%
16%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 1
MAR
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |