Barretos vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barretos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
PAU
43%
26%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
BAR
58%
24%
18%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 0
VEL
39%
27%
34%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
TAU
2 - 1
BAR
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 1
BAR
54%
25%
21%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 3
MIR
20%
23%
57%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
VEL
1 - 0
MAR
51%
26%
24%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 0
BRA
16%
20%
64%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 1
46%
23%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 0
MAR
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |