Barretos vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
54%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barretos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 3
IND
43%
24%
33%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 0
BAR
50%
24%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
ECN
53%
23%
25%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 0
TAB
78%
14%
8%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 2
CAP
60%
21%
20%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 0
MAR
15%
20%
66%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
4 - 6
MAC
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
BRA
0 - 0
MAR
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |