Barretos vs Independente SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
35.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barretos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
FRA
4 - 0
BAR
42%
26%
33%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 2
BAR
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 0
NOV
32%
25%
44%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 1
BAR
61%
21%
18%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 1
SJS
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 0
IND
54%
22%
24%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
IND
2 - 2
INT
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
IND
1 - 0
SVA
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
SJS
2 - 2
IND
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
IND
3 - 1
NOV
36%
24%
40%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |