Barrera vs Baena At. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
8.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
CIU
0 - 2
BAR
51%
24%
25%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
BAR
1 - 0
UTR
25%
24%
51%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
PAR
3 - 0
BAR
59%
22%
18%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
BAR
2 - 1
ASJ
39%
25%
36%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
PEN
2 - 1
BAR
76%
15%
9%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Baena At.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
BAE
0 - 3
SOL
18%
24%
59%
|
6 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
CAS
16 - 1
BAE
81%
13%
6%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
BAE
0 - 3
UDM
22%
26%
53%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
ANT
12 - 0
BAE
84%
12%
4%
|
8 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
BAE
0 - 8
MON
14%
23%
63%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | -1 |