SD Barreda Balompié vs CD Bezana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
54.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
11º
18º
12º
34
4º
18º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 67 |
1º
|
31.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 67 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 66 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 61 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 58 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 57 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 51 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 49 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 46 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 45 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 41 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 39 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 38 |
14º
|
22.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 32 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 29 |
16º
|
21% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 29 |
17º
|
39.5% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 18 |
18º
|
86.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 43% |
|
Mid-table
|
91% | 55.5% |
|
Relegation
|
8.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Barreda Balompié
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
REV
4 - 1
BAR
50%
22%
28%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
BAR
2 - 2
COL
42%
24%
34%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
BAR
0 - 0
CAS
28%
24%
48%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
SIE
1 - 5
BAR
43%
23%
34%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 2
ALB
17%
20%
63%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
CD Bezana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
BEZ
1 - 0
SDT
45%
26%
30%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
SAM
1 - 0
BEZ
45%
24%
31%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
GAM
0 - 4
BEZ
18%
21%
62%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
BEZ
3 - 1
NAV
60%
21%
19%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ATM
2 - 0
BEZ
23%
21%
56%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -1 |