Barras vs Piauí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 1
BAR
55%
24%
21%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
COR
2 - 1
BAR
34%
24%
42%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 0
PIA
45%
27%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 1
BAR
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAI
71%
18%
11%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Piauí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
PIA
3 - 2
COR
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
PIA
3 - 3
RIV
41%
25%
34%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 0
PIA
45%
27%
29%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
4DE
2 - 2
PIA
50%
25%
25%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
PIA
2 - 0
FLA
40%
26%
34%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +2 |