Barras vs Caiçara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
FLA
2 - 2
BAR
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
BAR
3 - 0
4DE
29%
25%
45%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +3 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 4
4DE
34%
26%
41%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
BAR
3 - 1
PIA
43%
27%
30%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
FLA
1 - 1
BAR
63%
21%
16%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Caiçara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
CAI
0 - 7
RIV
20%
22%
58%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2014 |
PIA
3 - 0
CAI
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
CAI
1 - 3
PIC
30%
24%
46%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2012 |
PIA
5 - 0
CAI
74%
16%
11%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
PAR
4 - 0
CAI
72%
18%
11%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | 0 |