Barras vs 4 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
45.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 4
4DE
34%
26%
41%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
BAR
3 - 1
PIA
43%
27%
30%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
FLA
1 - 1
BAR
63%
21%
16%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 0
COR
56%
23%
21%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
PIC
5 - 0
BAR
34%
26%
39%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 4
4DE
34%
26%
41%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
4DE
2 - 0
PAR
39%
25%
36%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
COR
2 - 1
4DE
24%
22%
54%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
4DE
1 - 3
FLA
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
RIV
1 - 0
4DE
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |