Barranquilla vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
40.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barranquilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
LLA
1 - 1
BAR
61%
24%
15%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
BAR
4 - 1
REA
41%
25%
35%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
CAR
4 - 0
BAR
79%
14%
7%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 0
RIO
18%
23%
59%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 2
BUC
28%
28%
44%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2014 |
BUC
1 - 0
UNI
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 1
BUC
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 1
UNI
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 1
QUI
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
AFC
0 - 1
UNI
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |