Barranquilla vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
39.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barranquilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
BAR
3 - 3
CAR
20%
24%
56%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
JUN
4 - 1
BAR
87%
10%
3%
|
51 | 79 | 28 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
PER
2 - 1
BAR
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 2
UNI
20%
21%
59%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 1
ACA
27%
28%
46%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
RIO
31%
26%
43%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
AME
1 - 1
UNI
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
AME
25%
25%
51%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
UNI
67%
18%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
JUN
20%
24%
56%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | 0 |