Barranquilla vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.2%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
43.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
5º
13º
11º
19
1º
9º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
4º
|
19 | 33 |
1º
|
39.5% | |
|
1º
|
22 | 32 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 31 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 28 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 26 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 23 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 22 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 22 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 21 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 21 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 19 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 18 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 16 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 16 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 15 |
15º
|
26% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 12 |
16º
|
58.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
23% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
77% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barranquilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
COR
1 - 0
BAR
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
3 - 2
LLA
20%
28%
52%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
REA
2 - 1
BAR
32%
27%
41%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
BJC
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
UNI
22%
27%
51%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
QUI
57%
25%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
ENV
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
UNI
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
BJC
1 - 4
CAR
28%
30%
42%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 2
LLA
34%
29%
38%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |