Copa Colombia 1/16
Global 1-4
Barranquilla vs Once Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
40.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barranquilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2018 |
QUI
1 - 0
BAR
57%
25%
18%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2018 |
ONC
2 - 0
BAR
58%
23%
18%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 1
AFC
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
TFC
1 - 1
BAR
38%
32%
30%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 1
RSC
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2018 |
ALI
4 - 1
ONC
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2018 |
ONC
2 - 0
BAR
58%
23%
18%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2018 |
ONC
2 - 2
AME
50%
27%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 0
ONC
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
ONC
2 - 0
PAT
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |