Barranquilla vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
53.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barranquilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CHI
1 - 0
BAR
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 0
ORS
57%
25%
19%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
RSC
0 - 1
BAR
41%
28%
32%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 3
CAR
38%
27%
36%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
AFC
3 - 2
BAR
43%
28%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 2
LLA
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FOR
3 - 1
RSC
74%
17%
9%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
ORS
0 - 4
FOR
17%
27%
56%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CHI
0 - 0
FOR
41%
29%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 0
LLA
58%
24%
19%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |