Barranquilla vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
25.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barranquilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2018 |
PER
3 - 0
BAR
60%
24%
16%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 2
ONC
34%
26%
41%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2018 |
QUI
1 - 0
BAR
57%
25%
18%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2018 |
ONC
2 - 0
BAR
58%
23%
18%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 1
AFC
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 0
QUI
31%
28%
42%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2018 |
AFC
0 - 1
FOR
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
FOR
3 - 2
TFC
37%
29%
35%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
RSC
3 - 1
FOR
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 0
ORS
45%
28%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |