Barranquilla vs Boca Juniors de Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
29%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
5º
13º
11º
10
3º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
19 | 33 |
1º
|
39.5% | |
|
1º
|
22 | 32 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 31 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 28 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 26 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 23 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 22 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 22 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 21 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 21 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 19 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
10 | 18 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 16 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 16 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 15 |
15º
|
26% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 12 |
16º
|
58.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
23% | 8% |
|
Mid-table
|
77% | 92% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barranquilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
UNI
22%
27%
51%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 0
CUC
23%
28%
49%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
TFC
1 - 1
BAR
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
JAG
0 - 1
BAR
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
BAR
4 - 0
AFC
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
BJC
0 - 1
CUC
21%
28%
51%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
HUI
0 - 2
BJC
64%
22%
15%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
BOG
0 - 1
BJC
37%
27%
36%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
BJC
0 - 0
LLA
19%
28%
53%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
BJC
0 - 0
UNI
18%
26%
56%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |