Barracas Central vs CA San Miguel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
7.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barracas Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
BAR
3 - 2
INS
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
CEN
1 - 2
BAR
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 0
HUR
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
GLP
2 - 0
BAR
51%
26%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 2
IND
37%
28%
35%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CA San Miguel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SMG
3 - 2
SUA
31%
30%
39%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
ALB
0 - 0
SMG
54%
26%
20%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
SMG
1 - 1
AGR
21%
30%
49%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
GBR
1 - 1
SMG
46%
28%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SMG
1 - 1
SMA
19%
29%
53%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |