Barracas Central vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
38.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barracas Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
ARS
1 - 2
BAR
53%
27%
20%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
IND
2 - 2
BAR
62%
24%
14%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 1
SAR
43%
28%
30%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
ALD
2 - 0
BAR
43%
28%
29%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 1
GLP
32%
28%
41%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
NOB
2 - 0
BOC
31%
29%
40%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
NOB
0 - 2
TIG
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
CCS
0 - 3
NOB
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
NOB
0 - 0
ARS
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CAU
0 - 1
NOB
43%
28%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |