Barracas Central vs Indep. Rivadavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
29.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barracas Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
PLA
1 - 0
BAR
55%
26%
19%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
BAR
0 - 1
TEM
35%
27%
37%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 0
BAR
55%
27%
19%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2019 |
MIT
4 - 2
BAR
47%
28%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 0
AGR
47%
26%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Indep. Rivadavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
IRV
1 - 1
AGR
47%
28%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
SMA
3 - 1
IRV
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
IRV
0 - 2
EST
40%
28%
32%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
BEL
2 - 2
IRV
63%
24%
14%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2019 |
IRV
3 - 2
ALV
61%
24%
16%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |