Barracas Central vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
37.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barracas Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 1
ARG
33%
27%
39%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2023 |
INS
0 - 0
BAR
43%
28%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 1
CEN
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
HUR
0 - 0
BAR
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 2
GLP
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
VEL
3 - 1
COL
50%
25%
25%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ARG
1 - 1
VEL
45%
27%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
VEL
1 - 1
TAL
40%
27%
34%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
INS
0 - 1
VEL
32%
28%
40%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
VEL
0 - 1
BAN
57%
25%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |