Sportivo Barracas vs CA Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
20.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
1º
5º
3º
16
2º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 20 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 20 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
16 | 16 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 15 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Barracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
CBA
0 - 1
SBA
18%
23%
59%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
SBA
0 - 0
CES
56%
24%
21%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
MUÑ
1 - 0
SBA
38%
26%
36%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
SBA
1 - 0
ARR
48%
25%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
MER
2 - 1
SBA
26%
23%
51%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2023 |
LUG
2 - 1
JUU
47%
26%
26%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
CAM
2 - 1
LUG
64%
20%
16%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
LUG
2 - 0
CBA
56%
24%
20%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CES
3 - 0
LUG
36%
26%
38%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
LUG
0 - 0
MUÑ
31%
26%
43%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |