Sportivo Barracas vs CA Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Barracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
JUU
3 - 1
SBA
64%
22%
15%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
SBA
1 - 2
ALE
39%
27%
34%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
VIC
1 - 2
SBA
55%
24%
22%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
SMA
3 - 2
SBA
67%
20%
13%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
SBA
3 - 0
ARR
44%
26%
31%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2014 |
LUG
0 - 2
SMA
19%
24%
58%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ARR
1 - 2
LUG
56%
24%
20%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
LUG
0 - 0
MUÑ
44%
27%
30%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
POR
1 - 0
LUG
47%
27%
26%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
LUG
1 - 1
DPA
63%
23%
15%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |