Barra Mansa vs Mageense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
32.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barra Mansa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 1
CGA
19%
19%
62%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
BON
0 - 0
BAR
65%
22%
13%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 2
UNI
63%
20%
17%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2024 |
SER
0 - 1
BAR
67%
20%
13%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
NFC
63%
20%
17%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mageense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
MAG
1 - 0
ZFC
17%
18%
65%
|
11 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
CGA
3 - 0
MAG
64%
20%
16%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
MAG
2 - 3
RIO
19%
18%
63%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
BON
3 - 0
MAG
61%
21%
18%
|
12 | 36 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2024 |
MAG
0 - 5
CIG
20%
18%
61%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |