Barra Mansa vs Bela Vista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
8.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+577%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barra Mansa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
QUE
1 - 0
BAR
34%
23%
43%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 2
TIG
39%
25%
37%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 0
MES
51%
22%
28%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
CDA
2 - 2
BAR
21%
21%
58%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
BAR
4 - 2
BAR
47%
23%
30%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bela Vista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
BVI
0 - 5
CIG
11%
16%
73%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
BVI
0 - 6
CEC
12%
16%
72%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
PFC
0 - 1
BVI
78%
14%
8%
|
8 | 24 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
BVI
0 - 2
BAR
13%
18%
70%
|
8 | 35 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
MAG
6 - 0
BVI
73%
16%
11%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | -1 |