Barra FC vs Marcílio Dias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
NES
0 - 4
BAR
22%
22%
56%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 3
BRU
14%
23%
64%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
BRU
3 - 1
BAR
72%
19%
10%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 2
BRU
20%
26%
55%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 2
BAR
75%
17%
8%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
INT
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
JEC
2 - 3
MAR
53%
25%
23%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 0
MAR
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CAC
1 - 2
MAR
13%
19%
69%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
CAC
30%
26%
44%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |