Barra FC vs Hercílio Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
47.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
AVA
1 - 0
BAR
81%
14%
6%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
INT
0 - 2
BAR
15%
23%
62%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
JEC
39%
27%
34%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
BAR
3 - 0
CAC
30%
27%
43%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
CRI
1 - 0
BAR
79%
15%
6%
|
50 | 80 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
HER
3 - 0
CAC
61%
23%
17%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
BRU
1 - 1
HER
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
HER
2 - 2
NES
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 35 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
HER
2 - 0
MAR
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
FFL
0 - 0
HER
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |