Barra FC vs Hercílio Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
38.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
ECP
0 - 2
BAR
33%
26%
41%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 1
CAM
35%
27%
38%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
JUV
0 - 5
BAR
55%
24%
22%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 1
CAC
29%
26%
45%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
AVA
2 - 0
BAR
82%
14%
5%
|
45 | 73 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
HER
1 - 0
CAM
47%
26%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
CAC
0 - 0
HER
42%
27%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
HER
4 - 1
FFL
20%
25%
55%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
JEC
0 - 0
HER
52%
25%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
HER
3 - 2
BRU
14%
21%
65%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | +1 |