Barra da Tijuca vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
33.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barra da Tijuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
NCI
1 - 1
BAR
21%
21%
58%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 0
PER
27%
25%
48%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SFC
1 - 2
BAR
46%
27%
27%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 2
FRI
33%
27%
41%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
AME
0 - 1
BAR
71%
19%
10%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MAC
5 - 3
CIG
52%
22%
27%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
PAD
2 - 1
MAC
44%
24%
32%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
MAC
3 - 0
DUQ
39%
26%
35%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 1
MAC
48%
24%
28%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 0
DUQ
31%
26%
43%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +2 |