Barra da Tijuca vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
31.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barra da Tijuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 1
BAR
34%
26%
40%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 2
GOY
56%
25%
20%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
SER
1 - 4
BAR
33%
26%
41%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 0
MAC
40%
26%
34%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
NCI
1 - 1
BAR
21%
21%
58%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
DUQ
4 - 0
CIG
61%
20%
19%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
PAD
0 - 0
DUQ
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FRI
0 - 1
DUQ
45%
26%
29%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
DUQ
1 - 0
SAO
43%
26%
32%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
GOY
0 - 1
DUQ
36%
27%
38%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |