Barquereño vs CD Bezana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
41%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
2º
9º
9º
34
4º
18º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 67 |
1º
|
31.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 67 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 66 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 61 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 58 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 57 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 51 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 49 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 46 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 45 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 41 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 39 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 38 |
14º
|
22.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 32 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 29 |
16º
|
21% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 29 |
17º
|
39.5% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 18 |
18º
|
86.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 1.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
8.5% | 43% |
|
Mid-table
|
90.5% | 55.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barquereño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
BAR
2 - 2
COL
56%
21%
23%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CAS
2 - 0
BAR
49%
24%
27%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
BAR
6 - 2
SIE
63%
20%
17%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
BAR
1 - 2
ALB
24%
23%
53%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
CUL
3 - 0
BAR
33%
25%
42%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CD Bezana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
BAR
4 - 2
BEZ
23%
22%
55%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
BEZ
1 - 0
SDT
45%
26%
30%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
SAM
1 - 0
BEZ
45%
24%
31%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
GAM
0 - 4
BEZ
18%
21%
62%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
BEZ
3 - 1
NAV
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |