Baronie vs Hoogeveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4%
2-1
5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
62.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baronie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
KOZ
0 - 3
BAR
58%
21%
21%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
JOS
4 - 3
BAR
44%
24%
33%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2023 |
BAR
3 - 1
JOS
42%
24%
35%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 1
AWC
47%
23%
30%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
AWC
1 - 1
BAR
43%
24%
34%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hoogeveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
RKA
1 - 0
HOO
30%
23%
46%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
HOO
3 - 1
RKV
89%
8%
3%
|
48 | 23 | 25 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
SJC
1 - 4
HOO
29%
22%
49%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
HOO
6 - 1
ALC
90%
8%
2%
|
47 | 18 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
DEZ
0 - 2
HOO
10%
16%
74%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |