Baronie vs Hollandia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
50.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-62%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baronie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 1
GEM
42%
26%
32%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
LIE
6 - 2
BAR
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 3
EVV
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2010 |
FCO
2 - 0
BAR
67%
20%
13%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 0
ACH
27%
25%
48%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Hollandia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
AFC
0 - 3
HOL
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
HOL
0 - 2
DET
27%
26%
47%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
HOL
1 - 0
VVS
41%
27%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
GEM
1 - 1
HOL
36%
26%
39%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
HOL
2 - 0
LIE
34%
27%
39%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |