Baronie vs Excelsior Maassluis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
22%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baronie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 1
SCH
69%
19%
12%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
DIJ
1 - 1
BAR
38%
26%
37%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
BAR
4 - 0
JVC
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
OSS
0 - 1
BAR
42%
26%
33%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 1
BAR
37%
25%
39%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
EXC
2 - 1
DUN
58%
21%
21%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
XER
1 - 1
EXC
32%
24%
44%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
EXC
3 - 2
RIJ
38%
24%
38%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
VOO
5 - 0
EXC
38%
25%
38%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
EXC
4 - 2
BEN
47%
25%
28%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +3 |