Baroka vs Richards Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baroka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
PRE
1 - 0
BAR
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
PRE
1 - 1
BAR
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
JDR
46%
28%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 0
MIL
41%
27%
31%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
UCF
0 - 1
BAR
20%
25%
55%
|
62 | 22 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Richards Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
RIB
1 - 0
PRE
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
RIB
2 - 1
SFC
26%
28%
46%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
MPU
3 - 1
RIB
59%
25%
17%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
PIR
0 - 1
RIB
65%
22%
13%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
POL
0 - 0
RIB
47%
28%
25%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |