Baroka vs NB La Masia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
21.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
2º
15º
3º
31
5º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
63% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
39.5% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
15º
|
60.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 39.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 60.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baroka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ORC
0 - 1
BAR
16%
23%
61%
|
63 | 23 | 40 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 0
HLF
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
3 - 2
MIL
74%
18%
8%
|
61 | 14 | 47 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
MIL
1 - 1
BAR
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
4 - 0
BLA
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
NB La Masia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
NBM
0 - 0
MAR
33%
30%
38%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
PCF
0 - 0
NBM
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
NBM
1 - 2
ORC
80%
14%
7%
|
54 | 22 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
PCR
1 - 1
NBM
37%
26%
37%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
NBM
1 - 0
CST
34%
28%
38%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |