Baroka vs Mbombela United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baroka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 3
BAR
34%
25%
41%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
MAL
2 - 3
BAR
31%
24%
45%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 0
VAS
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 3
BAR
41%
25%
34%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
WIT
1 - 3
BAR
39%
25%
36%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Mbombela United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
MBO
3 - 3
THA
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
SWA
4 - 3
MBO
79%
13%
7%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
MBO
1 - 4
SFC
36%
24%
40%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |