Baroka vs Durban City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
29.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baroka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2019 |
BID
3 - 1
BAR
59%
24%
18%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 0
AMA
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
FRE
2 - 2
BAR
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 2
SUN
28%
29%
43%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
CHI
0 - 1
BAR
53%
27%
20%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Durban City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2019 |
MAR
3 - 1
SSU
35%
30%
35%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
BLA
1 - 2
MAR
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 1
PIR
24%
28%
48%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
PAR
1 - 0
MAR
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 1
BLO
43%
28%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |