Baroka vs Mamelodi Sundowns analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
41.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baroka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 1
GOL
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2016 |
FRE
1 - 0
BAR
45%
26%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 1
MAR
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 1
PIR
31%
28%
41%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
BLO
2 - 1
BAR
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2016 |
JEO
4 - 1
SUN
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SUN
0 - 2
KAA
83%
12%
5%
|
73 | 42 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
SUN
4 - 1
FRE
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
AJA
2 - 0
SUN
31%
29%
40%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SUN
5 - 0
PAR
67%
21%
12%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |