Baroka vs Leruma United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+202%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baroka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 3
MIL
67%
21%
13%
|
59 | 27 | 32 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
PCF
1 - 0
BAR
30%
29%
41%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 0
BAR
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 0
CST
41%
28%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
PRE
1 - 1
BAR
45%
28%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Leruma United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
LER
1 - 4
KRU
50%
21%
29%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
MIL
3 - 0
LER
80%
12%
8%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
LER
1 - 0
CST
18%
23%
59%
|
11 | 62 | 51 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LER
2 - 0
AJA
21%
26%
54%
|
9 | 62 | 53 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
LER
0 - 3
JDR
18%
24%
58%
|
9 | 61 | 52 | 0 |