Baroka vs Kaizer Chiefs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
43.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.2%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baroka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
UCT
0 - 2
BAR
6%
12%
83%
|
62 | 18 | 44 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
POL
0 - 0
BAR
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 3
MPU
23%
27%
49%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
BID
5 - 0
BAR
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 0
PLS
38%
28%
35%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Kaizer Chiefs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
SFC
0 - 3
CHI
15%
20%
66%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 1
PIR
45%
28%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
AJA
1 - 1
CHI
38%
29%
34%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 0
PAR
57%
26%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 2
CHI
39%
29%
32%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |