Baroka vs Hungry Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
27.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
2º
15º
3º
42
1º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
63% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
39.5% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
15º
|
60.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baroka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
3 - 2
MIL
74%
18%
8%
|
60 | 13 | 47 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
MIL
1 - 1
BAR
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
4 - 0
BLA
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VFA
0 - 1
BAR
37%
29%
35%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 1
UCF
80%
14%
6%
|
58 | 8 | 50 | 0 |
Matches
Hungry Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
VFA
0 - 2
HLF
36%
30%
35%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
HLF
1 - 1
PCF
45%
29%
26%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
HLF
0 - 0
MAR
34%
30%
36%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
NBM
0 - 4
HLF
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
HLF
1 - 0
ORC
78%
15%
7%
|
57 | 19 | 38 | 0 |