Baroka vs Golden Arrows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
40.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baroka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 0
SSU
29%
29%
42%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
BLA
1 - 0
BAR
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 0
FRE
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 2
PIR
24%
28%
48%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 0
BAR
43%
28%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Golden Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
GOL
1 - 0
BLA
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
PIR
0 - 0
GOL
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
GOL
0 - 0
CHI
49%
27%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
GOL
0 - 1
SUN
26%
28%
46%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 1
GOL
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |