Baroka vs African Warriors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baroka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
CAP
1 - 1
BAR
31%
28%
41%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 2
MIL
51%
27%
22%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
BLA
2 - 0
BAR
43%
26%
32%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 1
PAR
45%
28%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
ALL
1 - 1
BAR
29%
27%
44%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
African Warriors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
WAR
0 - 0
WIT
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
GAR
0 - 1
WAR
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
WAR
1 - 3
COS
53%
25%
21%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
GOL
1 - 0
WAR
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
WAR
1 - 1
SAN
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |