Barnsley vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
IPS
0 - 2
BAR
65%
21%
15%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1998 |
WAT
0 - 0
BAR
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1998 |
BAR
7 - 1
HUR
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1998 |
SUN
2 - 3
BAR
71%
19%
11%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1998 |
BAR
0 - 1
IPS
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
SWI
1 - 4
BRA
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1998 |
SWI
1 - 1
NOR
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1998 |
GRI
1 - 0
SWI
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1998 |
SWI
2 - 0
CRY
35%
27%
39%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 1998 |
BRA
3 - 0
SWI
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |