FA Cup 1/32
Global 3-1
Barnsley vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1999 |
BAR
0 - 0
BIR
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1999 |
WBA
2 - 0
BAR
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1999 |
SWI
0 - 0
BAR
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1998 |
BAR
1 - 0
QPR
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1998 |
STO
0 - 1
BAR
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1999 |
POR
0 - 1
SWI
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1999 |
SWI
2 - 2
SHE
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 1999 |
SWI
0 - 0
BAR
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1998 |
BRI
3 - 1
SWI
53%
25%
23%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1998 |
SWI
1 - 0
WOL
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |