EFL Cup 1/64
Global 4-2
Barnsley vs Rotherham United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2000 |
BIR
4 - 1
BAR
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
BAR
4 - 1
WBA
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2000 |
ROT
0 - 1
BAR
33%
25%
42%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
WAT
1 - 0
BAR
35%
26%
39%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
BAR
1 - 0
NOR
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Rotherham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
ROT
1 - 1
LUT
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2000 |
BRI
0 - 1
ROT
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
ROT
1 - 2
BCF
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2000 |
ROT
0 - 1
BAR
33%
25%
42%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2000 |
COL
0 - 1
ROT
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |