EFL Cup 1/32
Global 4-1
Barnsley vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
8.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
GRI
1 - 2
BAR
35%
28%
37%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1998 |
BAR
1 - 3
NOR
65%
20%
15%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1998 |
BAR
1 - 0
OXF
66%
20%
15%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
BIR
0 - 0
BAR
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1998 |
BAR
1 - 1
STO
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
PNE
4 - 0
REA
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1998 |
REA
1 - 1
BUR
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
CHE
1 - 0
REA
53%
26%
21%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1998 |
REA
2 - 0
POS
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
REA
3 - 0
LUT
43%
27%
31%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +2 |